How Injuries To Steph Curry And Chris Paul Affect The Playoffs

It’s been a bad couple of days for MVP-caliber point guards.On Monday afternoon, Warriors fans waiting for the results of the MRI on Stephen Curry’s right knee got their answer: Curry will miss at least two weeks with a Grade 1 MCL sprain, according to the Warriors’ PR Twitter account. CLE233525+2 HOU000— Regardless of how long Curry is out, the biggest beneficiaries of his injury are obviously the San Antonio Spurs. Their title odds jump by about 23 percentage points if Curry doesn’t play from here on out and 6 percentage points even if he is back in action after the conference semifinals. One reason is simple: The Curry-less Warriors pose far less of a threat to the Spurs than the 73-win superteam San Antonio battled all season. But the Spurs also benefit disproportionately from an increased chance, however small, that Golden State could be knocked out before ever facing San Antonio.Before Paul’s injury, the Clippers were in position to profit from Curry’s absence. If Curry missed the entire second round and CP3 had been healthy, LA’s chances of winning the title would have roughly quadrupled. But without Paul, the Clippers have very little chance of going all the way, regardless of Curry’s status — the latest in a string of missed opportunities for the franchise over the past few seasons.Finally, it’s worth noting that the second-biggest leap in title probability if Curry is absent for the rest of the playoffs belongs to the Cleveland Cavaliers, whose chances of winning the championship go up 12 percentage points even though they couldn’t be affected by the injury until the NBA Finals. (For those curious, the plus-minus-based system I used in this article is higher on the Cavs than something like our Elo ratings, because plus-minus thinks Cleveland is more talented than how it’s played the past few seasons.)Of course, all these calculations can change if Curry is able to return — and play like himself — at some point in the Warriors’ playoff run. The sheer gravity of Golden State’s presence in the bracket has been enough to derail the Spurs’ and Cavs’ claims to favorite status all season long. So best-case, the Warriors weather the second round against the Blazers or depleted Clippers and then pick up where they left off with Curry back for the conference finals. But if his return is delayed or scrubbed entirely, the Warriors’ chances of defending their title will look more fragile than Curry’s knee. ATL122+1 OKC5149+4 CHA011+1 GS52538-14 BOS000— TEAMFULL CURRYNO CURRYCURRY OUT 2 WKSDIFF., 2 WEEKS AND FULL TOR233+1 POR000— Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Clippers were hit with even worse injury news Monday night. Chris Paul broke his hand and will likely miss the remainder of the postseason.The good news for Golden State is that Curry hasn’t been ruled out for the rest of the playoffs, particularly if the Warriors advance beyond the second round. The bad news is that he’s out for the time being. So for each team still active in the playoffs, let’s game out the chances they’ll win the title depending on various (hypothetical) levels of Curry participation over the rest of the playoffs.For this exercise, I’m going to use the plus-minus metric that drives our CARMELO projections1Specifically, I’m using a 50-50 blend of ESPN’s Real Plus-Minus and Basketball-Reference.com’s Box Plus/Minus, according to research by FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver. to generate Pythagorean ratings for the Warriors based on Curry’s availability. With Curry in the lineup, for instance, the metric says the Warriors possess roughly 67-win true talent (per 82 games) based on plus-minus; with Curry absent, that number falls to 53 wins. Those numbers can then be used to generate expected probabilities of advancing in the playoffs, all the way up to winning the NBA title.(Obviously this ignores all the ways in which matchups matter, as well as the dynamic effect of teammates’ playing together that isn’t captured by plus-minus. But as a rough cut, this method ought to do the trick.)Here’s how each team’s title odds would change if Curry played at full strength and had never been injured (specifically, logging 81 percent of the Warriors’ available minutes — the rate at which he played in last year’s playoffs), if he misses “two weeks” (which we’ll define here as being out until the conference finals), and if he doesn’t play at all: IND000— LAC000— Source: ESPN, Basketball-Reference.com Which teams benefit from Curry’s absence? ODDS OF WINNING TITLE WITH … SA16%39%22%+6 MIA000— VIDEO: Neil Paine on the Warriors’ and Spurs’ title chancesCheck out FiveThirtyEight’s 2016 NBA Playoff Predictions. read more

Tessa Chad Named AllACC Second Team

first_imgAlso during the Ohio State game, the Orono, Ontario native recorded her 200th career point and 100th point in a Louisville uniform. Chad has scored a hat trick in seven of the Cards’ last 11 games and has 42 goals in that stretch. She has 10 hat tricks on the season. Chad set the new program record for most goals scored in a single game on March 12, 2019 at Duquesne with nine goals. Her performance also tied the NCAA record for most goals in a game this season. LOUISVILLE, Ky. – The Atlantic Coast Conference announced that the University of Louisville’s Tessa Chad was named All-ACC Second Team on Tuesday. On April 9, 2019 against Ohio State, Chad tied her single-game goals record while also tallying two assists for 11 points to set a new program record for most points in a game. Chad has played in 34 games with 32 starts in two seasons at Louisville. The senior started all 17 games for the Cardinals this season.center_img Her 56 goals this season rank 13th in the nation and sixth in the ACC. Her 1.5 free position goals per game rank sixth in the country. For her career, she has 98 goals in a Louisville uniform, which ranks 10th all-time. Her 2.88 goals per game in two seasons at Louisville rank third all-time in program history. Story Links In her four years combined at Canisius and Louisville, she has played in 74 games with 189 goals and 213 points. Print Friendly Versionlast_img read more

Spain gears up for most uncertain election in 40 yrs

first_imgSpain faces its most uncertain national election in 40 years on Sunday with newcomer parties poised for big gains against the traditionally dominant conservatives and socialists, complicating efforts to form a stable government.The ballot will mark the end of the established two-party system that has held sway since the dictatorship of Francisco Franco ended in 1975, ushering in an untested and potentially volatile era of consensus politics.It will also offer the latest snapshot of the willingness of European electorates to abandon the mainstream centre-right and centre-left, following significant gains by populist parties since October in elections in France and Portugal. Also Read – Nine hurt in accident at fireworks show in French resortOpinion polls show the governing conservative People’s Party (PP) of Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy will win Sunday’s vote but fall well short of an absolute majority. Rajoy said on Wednesday he would consider a cross-party pact to ensure a stable administration over the scheduled four-year term, but all the main opposition parties have come out against joining the PP in a coalition. That points to a stalemate that analysts agree would probably disrupt an economic reform programme that has helped pull Spain out of recession and made inroads into a still stubbornly high unemployment rate. Also Read – Pakistan Army ‘fully prepared’ to face any challenge: Army spokesmanBut many Spaniards view the election as an opportunity to shake up a political establishment they consider inefficient and corrupt.“The People’s Party and the Socialists have run out of steam. They’ve promised things that they’ve never done and I hope that Podemos will be a change,” says Cristian Ciudad, who works on a fish stall at Valencia’s fresh food market.The 22-year-old says most of his friends will also vote for the upstart leftist anti-austerity party because they think it can bring much-needed youth employment.last_img read more